Sara Goudarzi in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (Sept. 30, 2026) argues there is no clear path from today's AI systems to superintelligence, and no basis for calculating the probability of doom — and that doom narratives serve large AI companies.
A free academic paper examining whether effective altruism's focus on individual giving overlooks institutional and political change as the larger lever.
Why I recommend it: Useful counterweight if you have read the pro-EA material — it argues the case from inside academic philosophy rather than online debate.