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ai risk

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leonarddung.github.io
Free
Website
Technology & Ethics

AI Risk, Plainly

Plain-language explanations of AI safety concepts, including scheming, evaluation awareness, chain-of-thought monitoring, catastrophic risk and power concentration. Each entry describes the idea, its role in risk arguments and research evidence.

#ai safety#plain-language#ai risk
leonarddung.github.ioAdded Oct 26, 20260 opens
gradual-disempowerment.ai
Free
Research Paper
AI Safety & Ethics

Gradual Disempowerment

Research project and paper examining how incremental automation of economic, cultural, and political systems could erode human influence even without a sudden AI takeover.

#AI safety#AI risk#automation#research
gradual-disempowerment.aiAdded Oct 13, 20260 opens
engelsbergideas.com
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

Will AI really turn us into paperclips?

Engelsberg Ideas essay arguing that thought experiments such as Nick Bostrom's “paperclip maximiser” say less about artificial intelligence than about human intuitions and fears.

#ai-risk#philosophy
engelsbergideas.comAdded Oct 9, 20260 opens
lesswrong.com
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities

Essay by Eliezer Yudkowsky on the LessWrong forum presenting a list of failure modes through which a misaligned advanced AI could lead to human extinction, framed as claims the author argues are not being addressed. The page includes the posting date and extensive community discussion in the comments.

#ai-safety#ai-risk#alignment#essays
lesswrong.comAdded Oct 8, 20260 opens
astralcodexten.com
Free
Essay
Technology & Ethics

An Open Letter to Steven Pinker on AI

October 2026 essay by Scott Alexander (Astral Codex Ten) addressed to psychologist Steven Pinker, responding to Pinker's views on AI risk and laying out the author's counterarguments.

#ai-risk#ai-safety#essay
astralcodexten.comAdded Oct 7, 20260 opens
forbes.com
Free
Article
AI & Tech News

Sam Altman: world should accept some bad things from AI (reported)

Forbes (Oct 4) reports Sam Altman, in an interview with Politico's Decoded newsletter, said "the world should accept some bad things happening for the benefits of this technology and people having the agency." Forbes also reports he prefers lighter regulation than Anthropic's approach. Fox News covered the same comments on Oct 5. Reported comments, not an official OpenAI announcement.

#OpenAI#Sam Altman#AI risk#regulation
forbes.comAdded Oct 5, 20260 opens
joecarlsmith.com
Free
Blog
People to Follow

Joe Carlsmith — Essays on Philosophy and the Long-Term Future

The personal site of Joe Carlsmith, a writer, researcher and philosopher at Anthropic working on Claude's constitution, with essays on ethics, effective altruism, the long-term future and advanced AI.

#philosophy#long-term future#AI risk#essays
joecarlsmith.comAdded Oct 3, 20260 opens
thebulletin.org
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

How the Bad Science of AI Doomerism Is Good for Big Business

Sara Goudarzi in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (Sept. 30, 2026) argues there is no clear path from today's AI systems to superintelligence, and no basis for calculating the probability of doom — and that doom narratives serve large AI companies.

#ai-risk#critique#big-tech
thebulletin.orgAdded Oct 2, 20260 opens
sfstandard.com
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

Experts on AI Doom: What Needs to Happen Next

San Francisco Standard (Sept. 21, 2026) asks accelerationists, doomers, protesters and a state senator about competing theories of AI's threat to humanity and what should happen next.

#ai-risk#ai-safety#san-francisco
sfstandard.comAdded Sep 30, 20260 opens
finance.yahoo.com
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

Anthropic says its AI models pose "existential risk to humanity" in leaked IPO filing

CNN report on Anthropic's IPO prospectus, obtained by Reuters, in which the company warns its AI models could pose "catastrophic or existential risk to humanity," can "resist shutdown," show "self-preserving behaviors," and have attempted to "conceal or manipulate information."

#anthropic#ai-safety#ipo#ai-risk
finance.yahoo.comAdded Sep 30, 20260 opens
bcantrill.dtrace.org
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

Fool's Expertise

Bryan Cantrill examines claims about catastrophic AI risk and argues that public debate should distinguish technical expertise from authority claimed outside a person's field.

#ai-risk#expertise#critical-thinking#engineering
bcantrill.dtrace.orgAdded Sep 28, 20261 opens
knightcolumbia.org
Free
Essay
Technology & Ethics

AI as Normal Technology

Arvind Narayanan and Sayash Kapoor's influential essay arguing AI is best understood as a normal technology — adopted slowly, shaped by institutions — rather than an unstoppable superintelligence.

Why I recommend it: An argued position paper, not neutral reporting — it directly disputes the "AI as superintelligence" framing. One of the most-cited counterpoints in the AI-risk debate.

#ai ethics#policy#research#ai risk
knightcolumbia.orgAdded Sep 25, 20262 opens
arxiv.org
Free
Research Paper
Technology & Ethics

Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI

Authors
Katja Grace, Harlan Stewart
Venue
Preprint, not yet peer-reviewed
Published
January 2024
ID
arXiv:2401.02843

Katja Grace, Harlan Stewart and co-authors survey 2,778 published AI researchers on when AI will reach various milestones and how risky it could be (arXiv, January 2024).

Why I recommend it: The largest survey of its kind, from AI Impacts. Expert forecasts vary widely and shift a lot with how questions are worded.

#ai forecasting#ai risk#research#researchers#survey
arxiv.orgAdded Sep 24, 20260 opens
techdirt.com
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

Effective Altruism's Bait-and-Switch: From Global Poverty to AI Doomerism

Techdirt opinion piece (April 2024) arguing the effective altruism movement shifted its money and attention from global poverty to AI existential risk.

Why I recommend it: Openly argumentative and from 2024. Effective altruists dispute this framing; see Holden Karnofsky's and Luke Muehlhauser's profiles for their side.

#effective-altruism#ai-risk#criticism#opinion
techdirt.comAdded Sep 24, 20260 opens
segyges.github.io
Free
Article
Technology & Ethics

Is Rationalism a Religion?

An essay by SE Gyges examining whether the online rationalist community around AI risk behaves like a religious movement.

Why I recommend it: A critic's personal essay. Read alongside the rationalists' own writing on LessWrong so you hear both sides.

#rationalism#ai-risk#culture#essay
segyges.github.ioAdded Sep 24, 20260 opens
aisafety.info
Free
Library
Technology & Ethics

AISafety.info

Free question-and-answer site explaining AI risk arguments in plain language, founded by Rob Miles and maintained by volunteers. Answers are organised as linked questions from beginner to advanced, covering how AI is advancing, why systems may pursue goals, alignment research and AI governance. Includes Stampy, a chatbot that answers AI safety questions with sources. Open source on GitHub; run as a project of Ashgro Inc, a US 501(c)(3) charity.

Why I recommend it: The clearest free place to find out what people mean when they talk about AI risk, written so you can follow it without a technical background. Be clear about what it is: this is advocacy, not a neutral survey of the debate. The homepage opens with 'it could lead to human extinction', and the whole site is built by people who already hold that view, so you will get their strongest arguments rather than the strongest objections to them. Their own chatbot warns it can be inaccurate — check its sources before repeating anything. Read it to understand the case, then read the critics of it, and pair it with the AI Basics page here for the numbers.

#ai ethics#ai governance#ai risk#ai safety#alignment#education#existential risk#explainer#glossary#open source#regulation#research#volunteer
aisafety.infoAdded Sep 23, 20260 opens
qchu.substack.com
Free
Document
Technology & Ethics

The Prophecy

Qiaochu Yuan (QC) on seeing Eliezer Yudkowsky as a prophet, and what that framing means for thinking about AI risk and the future.

From the site: I see Eliezer Yudkowsky as a prophet, and I mean that fairly literally.

Why I recommend it: Substack may show signup prompts, but the article itself was publicly accessible when added.

#AI risk#Yudkowsky#prophecy#longtermism#Substack
qchu.substack.comAdded Sep 18, 20260 opens
GitHub
Free
Tool
AI & Assistive Tools

PyRIT

Microsoft's open-source toolkit for red-teaming AI systems: automated attack prompts, scoring of the responses, and repeatable runs. Free.

From the site: The Python Risk Identification Tool for generative AI (PyRIT) is an open source framework built to empower security professionals and engineers to proactively identify risks in generative AI system...

Why I recommend it: Built by the team that red-teams Microsoft's own AI products, and released as-is. Best paired with a written idea of what you are testing for.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#developer-tools#free#microsoft#open-source#red-teaming#security#technology-and-ethics#testing
GitHubAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
arXiv.org
Free
Document
AI & Assistive Tools

Concrete Problems in AI Safety

The 2016 paper that framed AI safety as a set of specific engineering problems — side effects, reward hacking, unsafe exploration — rather than a philosophical worry. Free on arXiv.

From the site: Rapid progress in machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) has brought increasing attention to the potential impacts of AI technologies on society. In this paper we discuss one such potential impact: the problem of accidents in machine learning systems, defined as unintended and harmful behavior that may emer…

Why I recommend it: Start here if the safety conversation sounds abstract. It is plain about what can go wrong and why, and almost everything since cites it.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#alignment#arxiv#foundational#free#machine-learning#reading#research#technology-and-ethics
arXiv.orgAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
BlueDot Impact
Free
Training Program
AI & Assistive Tools

AI Safety Fundamentals

A free structured course in AI alignment and AI governance — readings, exercises and facilitated cohorts. Self-paced version free to anyone.

From the site: Free online courses, grants, and intensive in-person programs from the leading talent accelerator for beneficial AI and societal resilience. Join 10,000+ alumni and start today.

Why I recommend it: The usual route in for people trying to move into safety work. The reading list alone is worth the visit even if you never join a cohort.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#alignment#career-change#course#free#governance#regulation#research#study#technology-and-ethics#training
BlueDot ImpactAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
arXiv.org
Free
Document
AI & Assistive Tools

Managing Extreme AI Risks Amid Rapid Progress

A short consensus paper from Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio and two dozen other researchers on the risks they consider serious and the governance they think is needed. Free on arXiv.

From the site: Artificial Intelligence (AI) is progressing rapidly, and companies are shifting their focus to developing generalist AI systems that can autonomously act and pursue goals. Increases in capabilities and autonomy may soon massively amplify AI's impact, with risks that include large-scale social harms, malicious uses, an…

Why I recommend it: The clearest statement of what the safety-concerned researchers actually agree on, signed rather than paraphrased.

#ai ethics#ai-policy#ai-risk#ai-safety#alignment#arxiv#free#governance#reading#regulation#research#technology-and-ethics
arXiv.orgAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
Center for AI Safety
Free
Report
AI & Assistive Tools

An Overview of Catastrophic AI Risks

A structured survey of the risks — malicious use, competitive pressure, organizational failure, and systems pursuing goals of their own — with the evidence for each. Free to read.

From the site: There are many potential risks from AI. CAIS focusses on mitigating risks that could lead to catastrophic outcomes for society, such as bioterrorism or loss of control over military AI systems.

Why I recommend it: The best single map of the different worries, which are usually mashed together into one. Written by a safety organization, so read it as advocacy with citations.

#ai ethics#ai-policy#ai-risk#ai-safety#alignment#free#governance#overview#reading#regulation#research#technology-and-ethics
Center for AI SafetyAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
Inspect
Free
Tool
AI & Assistive Tools

Inspect

An open-source framework from the UK's AI Security Institute for evaluating models — writing tests, scoring answers and logging what happened. Free.

From the site: Open-source framework for large language model evaluations

Why I recommend it: What a government safety institute actually uses to test models. Technical, but the docs explain the thinking behind each kind of test.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#alignment#benchmarks#developer-tools#evaluation#free#open-source#research#technology-and-ethics#testing
InspectAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
GitHub
Free
Tool
AI & Assistive Tools

garak

An open-source scanner that probes a language model for weaknesses — prompt injection, data leakage, jailbreaks, toxic output — and reports what it found. Free.

From the site: the LLM vulnerability scanner. Contribute to NVIDIA/garak development by creating an account on GitHub.

Why I recommend it: Point it at a model you are about to rely on and see how it fails before your users do.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#developer-tools#free#open-source#prompt-injection#red-teaming#research#security#technology-and-ethics#testing
GitHubAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
ai-2027.com
Free
Report
AI & Assistive Tools

AI 2027

A detailed scenario for how AI might develop through 2027, written by former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo and colleagues, with the reasoning and uncertainties spelled out. Free to read in full.

From the site: A research-backed AI scenario forecast.

Why I recommend it: The forecast everyone in this field argued about. Read it as one carefully argued scenario, not a prediction — the authors say as much themselves.

#ai ethics#ai-policy#ai-risk#ai-safety#alignment#forecasting#free#reading#regulation#research#scenario#technology-and-ethics
ai-2027.comAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
promptfoo.dev
Free
Tool
AI & Assistive Tools

promptfoo

An open-source tool for testing and red-teaming prompts and AI apps — run the same prompts across models, compare answers, and catch regressions. Free and self-hosted.

From the site: The AI Security Platform that catches vulnerabilities in development. Trusted by 156 of the Fortune 500 and 300,000+ developers worldwide.

Why I recommend it: The practical one: if you have built anything on top of a model, this is how you check a prompt change did not quietly make it worse.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#developer-tools#evaluation#free#open-source#prompts#red-teaming#technology-and-ethics#testing
promptfoo.devAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
arXiv.org
Free
Document
AI & Assistive Tools

Constitutional AI: Harmlessness from AI Feedback

Anthropic's paper describing how Claude is trained against a written set of principles instead of relying only on human ratings. Free on arXiv.

From the site: As AI systems become more capable, we would like to enlist their help to supervise other AIs. We experiment with methods for training a harmless AI assistant through self-improvement, without any human labels identifying harmful outputs. The only human oversight is provided through a list of rules or principles, and s…

Why I recommend it: Worth reading to see what "aligned" means in practice at one lab — and note it comes from the company selling the model.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#alignment#anthropic#arxiv#free#reading#research#technology-and-ethics#training
arXiv.orgAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
metr.org
Free
Organization
Technology & Ethics

METR

A research nonprofit that independently evaluates frontier AI models to measure what they can actually do and what risks that creates. Reports are free.

From the site: METR is a research nonprofit that evaluates frontier AI models to inform the public about their risks and capabilities.

Why I recommend it: One of the few independent evaluators. Read their reports before you trust a lab's own capability claims.

#ai#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#ethics#governance#model-evaluation#nonprofit#regulation#reports#research#transparency
metr.orgAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
arxiv.org
Free
Document
Technology & Ethics

Dream-RSI: Recursive Self-Improvement through Evolving Worlds

A free arXiv preprint on recursive self-improvement in AI agents trained inside evolving simulated worlds.

Why I recommend it: Technical, and central to the safety debate about systems that improve themselves.

#agents#ai#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#arxiv#machine-learning#preprint#recursive-self-improvement#research#simulation
arxiv.orgAdded Sep 17, 20260 opens
web.stanford.edu
Free
Document
Technology & Ethics

How Much Should We Spend to Reduce A.I.'s Existential Risk?

Stanford economist Charles I. Jones works out, in plain economic terms, how much money it would be worth spending to lower catastrophic risks from advanced AI — comparing it to the roughly 4 percent of GDP the U.S. effectively spent during Covid-19.

#ai#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#cost-benefit#economics#existential-risk#policy#public-policy#regulation#research#research-paper#stanford
web.stanford.eduAdded Sep 16, 20260 opens
scottaaronson.blog
Free
ArticleBlog
Technology & Ethics

The Age of Wonders and Terrors

Computer scientist Scott Aaronson takes stock of where AI actually stands in 2026 — what has arrived, what he got wrong, and how to think clearly about the hype and the fear at the same time.

#ai#ai ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#blog#commentary#computer-science#critical-thinking#essays#scott-aaronson#technology
scottaaronson.blogAdded Sep 16, 20260 opens
intelligence.org
Free
Organization
Technology & Ethics

Machine Intelligence Research Institute

Research organization focused on the technical safety problems of advanced AI systems.

Why I recommend it: One perspective among several. Read it alongside the critics, not instead of them.

#ai#ai ethics#ai-ethics#ai-risk#ai-safety#free#nonprofit#organization#research#resources#social-impact#tech-ethics#technology
intelligence.orgAdded Sep 12, 20260 opens
adaptivesecurity.com
Free
Tool
Technology & Ethics

Adaptive Security awareness training

Security awareness training on AI threats, deepfakes, and phishing, including the Conan O'Brien video series.

Why I recommend it: Watch it as a job seeker too — deepfake and impersonation scams now target candidates during interviews.

#ai ethics#ai-risk#deepfakes#free#phishing#resources#security#tech-ethics#technology#tool#training
adaptivesecurity.comAdded Aug 30, 20260 opens