FreeResearch Paper
Technology & Ethics
Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI
Katja Grace, Harlan Stewart and co-authors survey 2,778 published AI researchers on when AI will reach various milestones and how risky it could be (arXiv, January 2024).
Why I recommend it: The largest survey of its kind, from AI Impacts. Expert forecasts vary widely and shift a lot with how questions are worded.
#ai forecasting#ai risk#research#researchers#survey
arxiv.orgAdded Sep 24, 20260 opens