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Will AI really kill us all? The science behind the hype

What it is

Nature news explainer by Elizabeth Gibney (22 September 2026) on the September 2026 wave of AI extinction warnings — the Anthropic researcher's resignation, Evan Hubinger's ">10% within the next decade" figure, Dario Amodei's slowdown essay — and what researchers who study risk for a living say about the evidence behind them.

Why I recommend it

The most useful part is RAND's Michael Vermeer saying the extinction scenarios rest on so many untestable claims that the conversation is closer to faith than evidence. Read it before repeating any percentage you see on social media — those numbers are personal estimates, not measurements.

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Added Sep 23, 2026 · 0 opens