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Technology & Ethics

Ripples on the Great Sea of Life: A Brief History of Existential Risk Studies

Authors
SJ Beard, Émile P. Torres
Venue
Working paper
Published
March 2021
ID
SSRN:3730000

How to cite it

Built from the details listed on this page. Check them against the paper before you submit.

APA
Beard, S., & Torres, É. P. (2021). Ripples on the Great Sea of Life: A Brief History of Existential Risk Studies. Working paper. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3730000
MLA
Beard, SJ, et al. "Ripples on the Great Sea of Life: A Brief History of Existential Risk Studies." Working paper, 2021, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3730000.
BibTeX
@article{beard2021ripples,
  title = {Ripples on the Great Sea of Life: A Brief History of Existential Risk Studies},
  author = {SJ Beard and Émile P. Torres},
  journal = {Working paper},
  year = {2021},
  url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3730000},
}

What it is

A 39-page history by SJ Beard (University of Cambridge) and Émile P. Torres of how existential risk became an academic field, tracing three successive waves: an explicitly transhumanist and techno-utopian first wave, a second built on longtermism and closely tied to Effective Altruism, and a third formed where the field met disaster studies, environmental science and public policy. Posted to SSRN January 2021, revised March 2021.

Why I recommend it

Free — the full PDF downloads without an account. This is the piece to read before anyone quotes an extinction probability at you, because it shows the field's assumptions were inherited from a particular movement rather than discovered. It is a working paper posted by the authors, not journal peer-reviewed, and the authors are participants in the debate they are describing, so it is a history written from inside.

Topics

Added Sep 23, 2026 · 0 opens