Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI

What it is

Katja Grace, Harlan Stewart and co-authors survey 2,778 published AI researchers on when AI will reach various milestones and how risky it could be (arXiv, January 2024).

Why I recommend it

The largest survey of its kind, from AI Impacts. Expert forecasts vary widely and shift a lot with how questions are worded.

Topics

#ai forecasting #ai risk #research #researchers #survey

Added Sep 24, 2026 · 0 opens