How It Works
AI Futures Model
The AI Futures Project's interactive quantitative model of AI timelines and takeoff: how coding automation and AI research progress could feed back into further capability growth. Visitors can change assumptions and compare simulated trajectories and milestone dates. It is a forecasting model, not a language model; some inputs use empirical evidence while others are the authors' intuitive estimates, so its outputs are conditional scenarios rather than established future outcomes.
Origin · no single documented coiner
Published by the AI Futures Project as a successor to the timelines and takeoff models accompanying AI 2027. The model website identifies an August 2026 version and explains its assumptions, limitations and adjustable parameters.