Q3.5 Timelines Update: Looks Like the Intelligence Explosion Will Happen in 2027 After All

What it is

AI Futures Project contributors revise AI-research automation forecasts using a METR estimate of AI-driven research acceleration and other evidence. Their expected 2027 arrival of a Superhuman AI Researcher assumes no substantial deliberate slowdown; these are uncertain forecasts with acknowledged modeling limitations, not established outcomes.

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